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Monday, October 04, 2004

CBS/NYT Poll

Shows a tied race, 47-47. However, the party id breakdown has 29% Republican and 34% Democrat.

The previous collaboration had 33% Rep and 31% Dem. Could a 4% decrease in (R) and a 3% increase in (D) explain it?

The previous poll had a 49-41 Bush lead.

A back-of-the-envelope figure adds the 4 to Bush and subtracts three from Kerry and we come to 51-44.


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