Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Likely Voter Light

This poll is very interesting in that it shows Bush swamping Kerry, if the traditional likely voter model was applied This would comport with my disbelief that Amercians would vote in a Commie sympathizer.

Other than the Democrats claiming people who did not vote in 2000 will really, really, really vote this time, what proof is there to discard the traditional voter model in favor of one that, coincidentally, favors the Democrat?

Also, what is the effect of those who didn't vote in 2000 voting netted against the likely voters who are "absolutely certain" they will vote who don't?


Thanks for the link! I have a question for you - please email me at mysterypollster at aol.com

Mark Blumenthal
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