Thursday, October 07, 2004
Mystery Pollster: Why & How Pollsters Weight, Part II
Excellent revelation on Zogby's methods, which by default seem to favor Dems as he weights every POTUS poll by the 2000 exit polling data - 39% Dem and 35% Rep.
So not only do we have the option of a pre-9/11-minded candidate for POTUS, but we also get to see pre-9/11-minded polling.
MP brings up an excellent point. Zogby assumes party affiliation has not changed in 4 years. (See previous paragraph for a hint as to why this may be mortally faulty.)
Nevermind the assumptions necessary to use exit polls.
Excellent revelation on Zogby's methods, which by default seem to favor Dems as he weights every POTUS poll by the 2000 exit polling data - 39% Dem and 35% Rep.
So not only do we have the option of a pre-9/11-minded candidate for POTUS, but we also get to see pre-9/11-minded polling.
MP brings up an excellent point. Zogby assumes party affiliation has not changed in 4 years. (See previous paragraph for a hint as to why this may be mortally faulty.)
Nevermind the assumptions necessary to use exit polls.
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