Tuesday, October 19, 2004

Why Can't the Pollsters Agree?

The blogosphere is way out front on this topic.

The long and short seems to be that an open market for polling data has led the various competing outfits to attempt to differentiate from each other at the margins.

To quote:
"The New York Times and CBS, on the other hand, include responses from all those determined to be 'likely voters', but gives some of their votes more weight than others depending on how they fit on a scale rating their likelihood of voting." (single quotes are mine.)

Simplicity would ask that each poll gives it raw data like this (page 4). However, the long and short has already covered this impediment to clarity.

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